Black Friday Gumball Machine
- Available
- Backordered, shipping soon
About the Sale
The Gumball Machine is simple and driven by pure chance. We select a bunch of items for clearance, publish the odds, and distribute them randomly as you order. No special requests for items are honored, it's all down to what the random number generator says...
In the end, everyone walks away a winner — we get to empty our shelves, and you get amazing deals and weird one-offs from our warehouse.
Please note that this is a clearance event. Returns are not accepted on Gumball orders.
The Gumball Process
Below you will find the table of available items in the Gumball Machine, each with a corresponding percentile chance. Gumball Machine items are determined through the following RNG system — no requests for specific items are allowed.
Let’s say you have your eye on a particular item and want to calculate your chance of getting it, at least once, across multiple Gumballs. The formula for this is:
1 - ( 1 - % Chance) ^ (# of Chances)
If item A has a 20% chance per Gumball, and you purchase three Gumballs, here's how it would shake out. Your chance at item A is equal to:
1 - (1 - 0.20)^3 = 0.488
In other words, your chance at item A is 48.8%
Note: To use this formula you need to express the percentage chance in decimal form. The 20% chance in the formula above is written as "0.20" not "20."
Happy hunting and may RNGesus bless you!
| Gumball Item | Chance |
| West German Bundeswehr Sewing Kit | 10.18% |
| 2x Random Morale Patches | 7.63% |
| 1 x Bag Dark Chocolate Zibby Beans | 6.36% |
| 1 x Bag Milk Chocolate Zibby Beans | 6.36% |
| German "Post War" Wool Scarf | 6.36% |
| Unissued French Summer Weight Boot Socks | 3.82% |
| East German Cold Weather Balaclava | 3.82% |
| 10$ Gift Card | 3.82% |
| 2x Zibby Bean Bumper Sticker | 3.18% |
| 2x Zibby Bean Round Sticker | 3.18% |
| Austrian Winter Pant Liner | 2.67% |
| Unissued Austrian Summer Field Cap | 2.54% |
| 1 x Bags Fiery Grads | 2.54% |
| Ivan's BBQ Peanuts | 2.54% |
| East German Rain Pattern Magazine Pouch | 2.54% |
| USGI Extreme Cold Weather Face Mask | 2.29% |
| Police Trade-In ALICE STANAG Pouch - Good | 2.04% |
| Police Trade-In ALICE STANAG Pouch - Serviceable | 2.04% |
| 25$ Gift Card | 1.91% |
| Police Turn-In Car GPS Antenna | 1.91% |
| Czech M60 Jacket | 1.91% |
| SADF Pattern 83 Battle Battle-Damaged Condition | 1.40% |
| Swiss Issue Forest Hatchet | 1.27% |
| East German Undershirt | 1.27% |
| Bundeswehr 'Pajama' Jacket | 1.27% |
| 1x Bag Ghost Grads | 1.27% |
| 2x Bag Zibby Beans | 1.27% |
| Iranian Loaded Landmine Model | 1.15% |
| Swiss Shoe Care Kits (Incomplete) | 1.15% |
| Police Trade-In ALICE STANAG Pouch - Great | 1.02% |
| LTD Edition Stealth Unveiled Whitehawk Tee Odd Size | 1.02% |
| Misc PT Shorts | 0.64% |
| Austrian M75 Steel Helmet | 0.51% |
| Bulgaian Landmine | 0.51% |
| 75$ Gift Card | 0.51% |
| Stealth Unveiled Nighthawk Bomber Jacket | 0.38% |
| Misc Condition Austrian Paratrooper Boots | 0.38% |
| SADF Pattern 83 Battle Jacket Good+ Condition | 0.38% |
| Blem Bundeswehr Engineer's Coverall Suit | 0.25% |
| Stealth Unveiled Nighthawk Tee | 0.25% |
| Polish Mess Kit | 0.25% |
| Japanese MRE | 0.25% |
| German Flecktarn LKS Load Bearing System | 0.25% |
| 10 Years Free Shipping (CONUS ONLY) | 0.25% |
| Greek "Jazz" Lizard Hooded Sweatshirt In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| Greek "Jazz" Lizard Fanny Pack In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| Skinwalker Night Desert Hooded Sweatshirt In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| Greek "Jazz" Lizard T-shirt In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| Wellenbrecher 'Wave breaker' T-shirt In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| Wellenbrecher 'Wave breaker' Hooded Sweatshirt In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| Wellenbrecher 'Wave breaker' Beach Towel In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| M90 "Glacial" Splinter T-shirt In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| M90 "Glacial" Splinter Sweatpant In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| M90 "Glacial" Hooded Sweatershirt In Size of Choice | 0.25% |
| Grade 2 Flecktarn Parka Size 05 | 0.13% |
| Grade 2 Flecktarn Parka Size 02 | 0.13% |
| Polish Summer Tanker Helmet (Size 53-54) | 0.13% |
| Modular Polizei Parka | 0.13% |
| German Kevlar Vest | 0.13% |
| EE Bravo Telephone | 0.13% |
| Army Greens | 0.13% |
