We've gone Gonzo for Shot Show '23. Featuring a supply of new-in-box tactical gear, the weirdest warehouse oddities, and a smattering of surplus scuba gear from the depths of our warehouse... Sounds a whole lot better than Vegas.
About the Sale
The Gumball Machine is simple and driven by pure chance. We select a bunch of items for clearance, publish the odds, and distribute them randomly as you order. No special requests for items are honored, it's all down to what the random number generator says...
In the end, everyone walks away a winner — we get to empty our shelves, and you get amazing deals and weird one-offs from our warehouse.
Please note that this is a clearance event. Returns are not accepted on Gumball orders.
A Special Note on Sizing & Condition
Sized Gumball items will be distributed randomly unless specifically stated otherwise in the description below. You are free to request certain sizes of items in your order notes but we can make no guarantees of availability.
Unless stated otherwise Gumball items are in either new or in Grade 1 (excellent) condition.
The Gumball Process
Below you will find the table of available items in the Gumball Machine, each with a corresponding percentile chance. Gumball Machine items are determined through the following RNG system — no requests for specific items are allowed.
Let’s say you have your eye on a particular item and want to calculate your chance of getting it, at least once, across multiple Gumballs. The formula for this is:
1 - ( 1 - % Chance) ^ (# of Chances)
If item A has a 20% chance per Gumball, and you purchase three Gumballs, here's how it would shake out. Your chance at item A is equal to:
1 - (1 - 0.20)^3 = 0.488
In other words, your chance at item A is 48.8%
Note: To use this formula you need to express the percentage chance in decimal form. The 20% chance in the formula above is written as "0.20" not "20."
Happy hunting and may RNGesus bless you!
| Item | Chance | Retail |
| Police Trade-In Safariland 6360 Glock Holster | 0.46% | $64.99 |
| USGI UCP MOLLE II Large Rucksack Good | 0.46% | $84.99 |
| SHOTShow 2023 Merch | 0.38% | Resell on eBay :P |
| Blem Austrian Alpine Hardshell Parka | 0.23% | $99.99 |
| British Desert 'Nightshade' DPM Field Shirt | 0.23% | $59.99 |
| Pattern 84 Chest Rig - MultiCam Black | 0.23% | $219.99 |
| SADF Pattern 83 Battle Jacket Serviceable+ | 0.23% | $229.99 |
| USGI ORC Industries Improved Combat Shelter, UCP Serviceable | 0.23% | $89.99 |
| $100 Gift Card | 0.15% | $100.00 |
| Pattern 84 Chest Rig - MultiCam | 0.15% | $219.99 |
| SADF Pattern 83 Chest Rig Great+ | 0.15% | $139.99 |
| Streamlight Microstream Coyote Brown | 0.15% | $55.65 |
| SureFire Sonic Defender+ | 0.15% | $14.95 |
| Police Trade-In Dive Tank | 0.12% | $299.99 |
| Blem Big Fish Hat | 0.11% | $34.99 |
| USGI ECW Intermediate Sleeping Bag | 0.11% | $119.99 |
| Feet Picture | 0.08% | Millions :) |
| NAR Individual Patrol Officer Kit IPOK | 0.08% | $46.89 |
| Police Trade-In Interspiro Divator MKII Full-Face Diving Mask | 0.08% | $925.00 |
| Police Trade-In Akona Diving Hood | 0.08% | $51.00 |
| Blem USGI Level 7 ECW Parka | 0.06% | $169.99 |
| Police Trade-In Scubapro S-TEK Silver Skin | 0.06% | $250.00 |
| Police Trade-In Scubapro Jetfin | 0.06% | $173.00 |
| Police Trade-In ScubaPro Diving Mask+Octopus Regular System | 0.06% | $299.99 |
| $500 Gift Card | 0.05% | $500.00 |
| 1 Year Free CONUS shipping | 0.05% | $150.00 |
| Holosun HS403R | 0.05% | $211.75 |
| KBAR USMC Fighting Knife | 0.05% | $133.66 |
| NAR M-FAK Mini First Aid Kit | 0.05% | $82.29 |
| Peltor Tactical 100 Sport Headset | 0.05% | $142.99 |
| SureFire G2X Flashlight | 0.05% | $89.00 |
| USGI Extreme Cold Weather Boots | 0.05% | $99.99 |
| Police Trade-In Pinnacle Farmer John Wetsuit | 0.05% | $69.99 |
| Police Trade-In Pinnacle Escape 3mm Dive Suit | 0.05% | $229.95 |
| Police Trade-In Scubapro Nighthawk BCD | 0.05% | $649.99 |
| Police Trade-In DUI Dry Fleece Suit Actionwear 3000 | 0.05% | $366.00 |
| Afghan Large Pattern War Rug | 0.03% | $299.99 |
| Battle-Damaged SADF Pattern 83 Chest Rig | 0.03% | $109.99 |
| USGI ALICE Pack with Frame | 0.03% | $129.99 |
| Police Trade-In Underwater Kinetics Light Cannon | 0.03% | $199.95 |
| Police Trade-In ScubaPro Diving Mask | 0.03% | $99.99 |
| Blem USGI Level 7 ECW Pants | 0.02% | $69.99 |
| God's Little Angel 6 Foot Blem Gondola | 0.02% | $169.99 |
| Mountain House Chili Mac TWENTY PACK BABY | 0.02% | $279.80 |
| SUREFIRE M640U SCOUT PRO 1000LUM BK | 0.02% | $359.00 |
| SureFire X300U | 0.02% | $359.00 |
| Police Trade-In Scubapro Superhawk BCD | 0.02% | $649.99 |
| Police Trade-In 3M Quest Model 2200 Diving Sound Level Meter | 0.02% | $649.99 |
| Police Trade-In OMS Thrust Diving Fins | 0.02% | $133.93 |
| Police Trade-In Akona Talon Knife | 0.02% | $54.95 |
| Police Trade-In OTS BUDDY PHONE 2 CHANNEL SURFACE STATION | 0.02% | $1,649.00 |
| Police Trade-In Uniden Oceanius VHF Marine Transceiver | 0.02% | $89.99 |
| Police Trade-In Wenoka Diving Knife | 0.02% | $74.00 |
| Police Trade-In ScubaPro Diving Knife | 0.02% | $89.00 |
| Item | Chance | Retail |
| Two Random Patches and One Random Sticker | 7.70% | $23.99 |
| Bundeswehr Folding Goggles Two-Pack | 6.54% | $15.99 |
| Bundeswehr Tracksuit Jacket | 4.62% | $19.99 |
| Czech Brown V-Neck Sweater | 3.85% | $19.99 |
| 1ft Gondola Plush | 3.83% | $34.99 |
| Greek OD Sweatshirt | 3.76% | $13.99 |
| French CCE Field Cap | 3.50% | $11.99 |
| $15 Gift Card | 3.46% | $15.00 |
| Czech M95 Trigger Finger Mittens | 3.08% | $12.99 |
| Bundeswehr Blue Cotton Button-Up Shirt | 2.69% | $14.99 |
| Belgian OD Sweatshirt | 2.69% | $15.99 |
| AIM-9 Standee | 2.29% | $24.99 |
| Desert DPM Rucksack Cover | 2.26% | $9.99 |
| Italian Forze Armate Shorts | 2.23% | $19.99 |
| Swiss Alpenflage Helmet Cover | 1.92% | $9.99 |
| USGI DSCP Moisture Wicking T-Shirt Three-Pack | 1.92% | $22.99 |
| Czech M85 OD Parka | 1.77% | $34.99 |
| Belgian TL122D Flashlight Clone | 1.54% | $14.99 |
| Bundeswehr Wool Scarf Two-Pack | 1.54% | $17.98 |
| G3 Rifle Cleaning Kit Two-Pack | 1.54% | $17.98 |
| USGI 6 Color Desert Helmet Cover | 1.54% | $9.99 |
| Warehouse Artifact | 1.54% | $0.00 |
| Two Pack Dark Chocolate Zibby Beans | 1.54% | $13.98 |
| $25 Gift Card | 1.54% | $25.00 |
| Forze Armate Tracksuit | 1.54% | $34.99 |
| USGI Self-Inflating Sleeping Mat Therm-A-Rest (Alpha Grey) / Good | 1.31% | $39.99 |
| Spanish Commando Sweater | 1.23% | $34.99 |
| Bose Gentex Triport CVC PTT and Mic Set | 1.15% | $49.99 |
| British MTP STANAG Mag Pouch Two-Pack | 1.15% | $19.98 |
| Czech M85 Bread Bag | 1.15% | $14.99 |
| GORE-TEX German Polizei Duty Parka | 1.15% | $84.99 |
| Two-Pack USGI OCP PVS-14 Pouch Protective NVG Insert | 1.08% | $39.98 |
| Two-Pack Belgian Service Shirt | 0.92% | $29.98 |
| Mountain House Chili Mac MCW Meal | 0.92% | $13.99 |
| Bundeswehr Beret | 0.77% | 14.99 |
| Czech Civil Defense Work Jacket | 0.77% | $44.99 |
| Czech OD Tube Scarf Two-Pack | 0.77% | $19.98 |
| German KSK Beret | 0.77% | $14.99 |
| Bundeswehr Femboy Skirt (Used) | 0.77% | $9.99 |
| USGI P38 Can Opener (Ten-Pack Baby) | 0.72% | $19.90 |
| STALKER Duty Factor Flag | 0.62% | $29.99 |
| $50 Gift Card | 0.62% | $50.00 |
| Two Pack Ops-Core Gas Mask Chinstrap Extender | 0.62% | $23.98 |
| Two-Pack USGI Tees | 0.60% | $15.98 |
| Eagle Industries AOR1 Double 40mm Pouch Excellent | 0.46% | $19.99 |
| Harris Radio Set MOLLE Pouch | 0.46% | $29.99 |
| Big Patch Hat | 0.38% | $34.99 |
| French CCE Woodland Pullover Fleece Jacket | 0.38% | $24.99 |
| Ivan's Fiery Grads Three-Pack | 0.38% | $20.97 |
| Two-Pack ALICE STANAG Pouch, Excellent Condition | 0.38% | $29.98 |
| Two-Pack USGI Black Wool Glove Liners | 0.38% | $15.98 |
| Tax Fraud Pride Flag | 0.38% | $29.99 |
| USGI Thales PRC-148 Radio Carrier Good | 0.34% | $19.99 |
| Two-Pack Assorted USGI UCP Pouches | 0.32% | $13.99 |
| Battle-Damaged USMC Coyote Brown Dump Pouch Two-Pack | 0.31% | $31.98 |
| North American Rescue C.A.T. TQ Pouch Coyote Brown / Excellent | 0.31% | $17.99 |
| North American Rescue C.A.T. TQ Pouch Good | 0.31% | $14.99 |
| USGI ECW Fleece Jacket | 0.31% | $39.99 |
| 4pk Bundeswehr "Mannhose" PT Shorts | 0.23% | $23.96 |
| Two Pack 9 Rib KAC Ribbed Hand Rail Cover | 0.23% | $39.98 |
| Two-Pack Blem ALICE STANAG Pouch | 0.23% | $19.98 |
| Two-Pack Blem USGI OD Barracks Bag | 0.17% | $15.98 |
| STALKER Monolith Faction Flag | 0.15% | $29.99 |
| Two Pack 5 Rib KAC Ribbed Hand Rail Cover | 0.15% | $31.98 |
| USGI ECWCS Thermal Undershirt Small | 0.15% | $19.99 |
| Blem USGI Self-Inflating Sleeping Mat | 0.14% | $39.99 |
| Blem USMC FROG Pants | 0.12% | $34.99 |
| Two-Pack Blem Bundeswehr Tricot Shirt | 0.12% | $15.98 |
| Blem USGI AN/PAQ-4C Hard Case | 0.09% | $39.99 |
| Blem USMC FROG Shirt | 0.09% | $39.99 |
| UCP Shelter Half | 0.08% | $49.99 |
| ESS Profile Goggles | 0.06% | $29.99 |
| Blem Flecktarn Hardshell Pants | 0.05% | $39.99 |
Ivan blessed me with a $50 Gift Card, A British Top and Balaclava, and a Hockey Jersey. Praise Ivan!
Got some great stuff guys thanks
GUUUUUMMMMMMMBBBBBAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLLL
This is better than gambling because you get something worthwhile instead of blowing all your money on a slot machine.
No matter what weirdness you get it's worth it!
